SonderjyskE vs Viborg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
SonderjyskEvs
ViborgThe model puts Viborg at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Viborg.
- −The head-to-head record favours SonderjyskE (3-2-1).
- +SonderjyskE are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Viborg are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- SonderjyskE have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Viborg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- SonderjyskE have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- SonderjyskE will be without Kristensen, Vinderslev, Klysner.
- Viborg will be without Freriks, Njoh, Riahi, Hoedemakers.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts SonderjyskE at 32%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Viborg at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Viborg. SonderjyskE is priced at 3.045. The draw is priced at 3.62. Viborg is priced at 2.16.
SonderjyskE have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Viborg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
SonderjyskE have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Viborg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, SonderjyskE or Viborg?
Our model rates Viborg as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for SonderjyskE vs Viborg?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 SonderjyskE wins, 2 draws, 1 Viborg wins.
League table
Denmark. Superliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Copenhagen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 2 |  Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brondby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Nordsjaelland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 5 |  Odense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Viborg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  AGF Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 8 |  Lyngby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 9 |  Horsens | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 10 |  Randers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 11 |  Silkeborg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 12 | SonderjyskE | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.