Chelyabinsk II vs Dynamo Barnaul: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Chelyabinsk IIvs
Dynamo BarnaulThe model puts Chelyabinsk II at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Chelyabinsk II.
- +The head-to-head record favours Chelyabinsk II (1-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Chelyabinsk II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Barnaul have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chelyabinsk II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Chelyabinsk II is priced at 2.27.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Chelyabinsk II at 43%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Dynamo Barnaul at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Chelyabinsk II is priced at 2.27. The draw is priced at 3.125. Dynamo Barnaul is priced at 2.938.
Chelyabinsk II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Chelyabinsk II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Chelyabinsk II are on 2 wins in a row. Dynamo Barnaul have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Chelyabinsk II or Dynamo Barnaul?
Our model rates Chelyabinsk II as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Chelyabinsk II vs Dynamo Barnaul?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Chelyabinsk II wins, 2 draws, 0 Dynamo Barnaul wins.
League table
Russian Championship. League 2. Division B. Group 4| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 52:13 | 50 |
| 2 |  KDV | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 36:19 | 44 |
| 3 |  Pobeda Nizhny Novgorod | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 45:21 | 42 |
| 4 |  Krylia Sovetov II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24:20 | 26 |
| 5 |  Akron Tolyatti II | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 34:29 | 26 |
| 6 |  Izhevsk | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26:26 | 22 |
| 7 |  Rubin Kazan II | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21:27 | 20 |
| 8 |  Orenburg II | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25:30 | 20 |
| 9 |  Ural II | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 30:38 | 19 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk II | 18 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 12:27 | 14 |
| 11 | Dynamo Barnaul | 18 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 19:44 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nosta Novotroitsk | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 14:44 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.