Teplice vs Viktoria Plzen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Teplicevs
Viktoria PlzenThe model puts Viktoria Plzen at 51%. The model leans toward Viktoria Plzen. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Teplice (3-2-1).
- +Teplice are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Viktoria Plzen are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Teplice have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Viktoria Plzen have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Teplice have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Teplice will be without Audinis, Beranek, Danihel, Hopi Idr., Svatek, Vecerka.
- Viktoria Plzen will be without Bayer V., Paluska, Panos, Jemelka.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Teplice at 25%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Viktoria Plzen at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Viktoria Plzen. Teplice is priced at 4.19. The draw is priced at 3.7. Viktoria Plzen is priced at 1.77.
Teplice have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Viktoria Plzen have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Teplice have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Viktoria Plzen have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Teplice or Viktoria Plzen?
Our model rates Viktoria Plzen as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Teplice vs Viktoria Plzen?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Teplice wins, 2 draws, 1 Viktoria Plzen wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Jablonec | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Teplice | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Mlada Boleslav | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 5 |  Zbrojovka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 6 |  Hradec Kralove | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Slovan Liberec | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8 |  AC Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 9 |  Banik Ostrava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 10 |  Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 11 |  Artis Brno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 12 | Viktoria Plzen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 13 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 14 |  1. Slovacko | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 15 |  Zlin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Pardubice | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.