Queen's Park vs Raith Rovers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Queen's Parkvs
Raith RoversThe model puts Raith Rovers at 50%. The model leans toward Raith Rovers. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Raith Rovers (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Queen's Park have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Raith Rovers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Queen's Park have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Raith Rovers is priced at 1.85.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Queen's Park at 24%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Raith Rovers at 50%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Raith Rovers. Queen's Park is priced at 3.875. The draw is priced at 3.32. Raith Rovers is priced at 1.85.
Queen's Park have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Raith Rovers have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Queen's Park have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Raith Rovers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Queen's Park or Raith Rovers?
Our model rates Raith Rovers as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Queen's Park vs Raith Rovers?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Queen's Park wins, 1 draws, 4 Raith Rovers wins.
League table
Scotland. Championship| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Livingston | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Ayr United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Partick Thistle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Raith Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 5 |  Stenhousemuir | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 |  Inverness | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 |  Dunfermline Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Greenock Morton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 10 |  Arbroath | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.