Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Wolfsberger ACvs
Red Bull SalzburgThe model puts Red Bull Salzburg at 50%. The model leans toward Red Bull Salzburg. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Red Bull Salzburg (2-3-10).
- −Red Bull Salzburg are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Wolfsberger AC have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Red Bull Salzburg have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wolfsberger AC have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Red Bull Salzburg will be without Baidoo, Chase A., Diabate, Jano, Lainer, Omoregie J..
- Red Bull Salzburg is priced at 1.89.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Wolfsberger AC at 26%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Red Bull Salzburg at 50%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Red Bull Salzburg. Wolfsberger AC is priced at 3.72. The draw is priced at 3.74. Red Bull Salzburg is priced at 1.89.
Wolfsberger AC have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Red Bull Salzburg have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Wolfsberger AC have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Wolfsberger AC are on 4 wins in a row. Red Bull Salzburg have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Red Bull Salzburg are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Wolfsberger AC or Red Bull Salzburg?
Our model rates Red Bull Salzburg as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Wolfsberger AC wins, 3 draws, 10 Red Bull Salzburg wins.
League table
Austria. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolfsberger AC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  LASK Linz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Rheindorf Altach | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Rapid Wien | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  FC Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Ried | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 |  Austria Lustenau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  WSG Tirol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 10 |  Hartberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 11 |  Grazer AK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 12 |  Austria Wien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.