Austria Wien vs LASK Linz: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Austria Wienvs
LASK LinzThe model puts LASK Linz at 46%. The model leans toward LASK Linz. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Austria Wien are dealing with notable absentees.
- −LASK Linz are dealing with notable absentees.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Austria Wien have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- LASK Linz have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Austria Wien have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Austria Wien will be without Botic, Wiesinger, Sarkaria.
- LASK Linz will be without Smakaj A., Bogarde.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Austria Wien at 28%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts LASK Linz at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward LASK Linz. Austria Wien is priced at 3.475. The draw is priced at 3.52. LASK Linz is priced at 2.02.
Austria Wien have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. LASK Linz have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Austria Wien have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. LASK Linz have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. LASK Linz are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Austria Wien or LASK Linz?
Our model rates LASK Linz as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Austria Wien vs LASK Linz?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Austria Wien wins, 1 draws, 3 LASK Linz wins.
League table
Austria. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Wolfsberger AC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | LASK Linz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Rheindorf Altach | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Rapid Wien | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  FC Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Ried | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 |  Austria Lustenau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  WSG Tirol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 10 |  Hartberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 11 |  Grazer AK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 12 | Austria Wien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.