USA. MLS

Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Columbus Crewvs

CF Montreal

Our predictionColumbus Crew to win

Model score: High · 80/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Columbus Crew at 59%. The model leans toward Columbus Crew. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours Columbus Crew.
−CF Montreal score more per game (1.0 at home vs 2.0 away).
−The head-to-head record favours CF Montreal (4-4-7).
−CF Montreal creates more chances (12 vs 14 shots per game).
+Columbus Crew controls more of the ball (58% vs 50%).

Win probabilities

1 · Columbus Crew59%Draw18%2 · CF Montreal24%

1 · Columbus CrewDraw2 · CF Montreal

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2CF Montreal5.00+4.8%

BTTSNo2.25+4.5%

O/U 2.5Under 2.52.41+0.4%

O/U 2.5Over 2.51.55-0.4%

1X2Columbus Crew1.56-2.2%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Columbus CrewDWLDL

CF MontrealLLLDL

Team strength rating

Columbus Crew

CF Montreal

Expected goals

2.18Columbus Crew

0.95CF Montreal

Over 2.5 goals60%

Both teams to score54%

Most likely scorelines

2-010.4%

2-19.9%

1-09.5%

1-19.1%

3-07.5%

3-17.2%

Match DNA

Columbus Crew CF Montreal

Key points

Columbus Crew have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
CF Montreal have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Columbus Crew have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Columbus Crew is priced at 1.56.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Columbus Crew win1.56Fair (-2.2%)

Total goalsOver 2.51.55Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	4	4	2
1	10	9	4	1
2	10	10	5	1
3	8	7	3	1
4	4	4	2
5	2	2

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Columbus Crew at 59%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts CF Montreal at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Columbus Crew. Columbus Crew is priced at 1.56. The draw is priced at 4.66. CF Montreal is priced at 5.

Columbus Crew have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. CF Montreal have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.

Columbus Crew have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. CF Montreal have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

Columbus Crew average 1 goals per game this season. Columbus Crew average 58% possession. CF Montreal average 2 goals per game this season. CF Montreal average 50% possession.

The model gives 54% for both teams to score. The model gives 60% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Columbus Crew or CF Montreal?

Our model rates Columbus Crew as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 15 meetings: 4 Columbus Crew wins, 4 draws, 7 CF Montreal wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

USA. MLS

#	Team	GP	W	L	T	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	17	10	3	4	38:17	34
2	Los Angeles	19	10	5	4	35:19	34
3	San Jose Earthquakes	18	10	5	3	37:24	33
4	Houston Dynamo	18	10	6	2	27:24	32
5	Real Salt Lake	17	8	6	3	29:25	27
6	Dallas	18	7	5	6	32:25	27
7	St. Louis City	18	7	6	5	24:24	26
8	Portland Timbers	18	7	8	3	33:33	24
9	Seattle Sounders	17	7	7	3	20:22	24
10	Minnesota United	18	6	6	6	20:25	24
11	Colorado Rapids	18	7	10	1	27:25	22
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	5	7	7	24:29	22
13	San Diego	18	5	7	6	32:29	21
14	Austin	18	4	9	5	22:36	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	18	4	12	2	18:46	14