Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Colorado Rapidsvs
Los AngelesThe model puts Colorado Rapids at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Colorado Rapids score more per game (3.0 at home vs 2.0 away).
- +The head-to-head record favours Colorado Rapids (8-3-4).
- +Colorado Rapids controls more of the ball (57% vs 48%).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Colorado Rapids have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Los Angeles have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Colorado Rapids is priced at 2.76.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Colorado Rapids at 40%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Los Angeles at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Colorado Rapids is priced at 2.76. The draw is priced at 3.96. Los Angeles is priced at 2.28.
Colorado Rapids have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Los Angeles have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Colorado Rapids have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Los Angeles have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Colorado Rapids average 3 goals per game this season. Colorado Rapids average 57% possession. Los Angeles average 2 goals per game this season. Los Angeles average 48% possession.
The model gives 80% for both teams to score. The model gives 82% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Colorado Rapids or Los Angeles?
Our model rates Colorado Rapids as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 Colorado Rapids wins, 3 draws, 4 Los Angeles wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
USA. MLS| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38:17 | 34 |
| 2 | Los Angeles | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 35:19 | 34 |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 37:24 | 33 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 27:24 | 32 |
| 5 |  Real Salt Lake | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29:25 | 27 |
| 6 |  Dallas | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 32:25 | 27 |
| 7 |  St. Louis City | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:24 | 26 |
| 8 |  Portland Timbers | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 33:33 | 24 |
| 9 |  Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 20:22 | 24 |
| 10 |  Minnesota United | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:25 | 24 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 12 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24:29 | 22 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 32:29 | 21 |
| 14 |  Austin | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 22:36 | 17 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 18:46 | 14 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.