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North American. Leagues Cup

Dallas vs Queretaro: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Dallas DallasvsQueretaro Queretaro
Our predictionDallas to win
Model score: Medium · 40/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Dallas at 52%. The model leans toward Dallas. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · DallasDraw2 · Queretaro
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Queretaro4.28+2.7%
BTTSYes1.58+0.1%
BTTSNo2.23-0.1%
1X2Draw3.78-1.1%
1X2Dallas1.74-1.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.13Dallas
xG
1.10Queretaro
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score59%
Team strength rating
Dallas
60
Queretaro
54

Most likely scorelines

2-19.9%
1-19.3%
2-09.0%
1-08.4%
3-17.0%
3-06.4%

Recent form

DallasDLDWD
QueretaroWWL

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Dallas Queretaro

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Dallas win1.74Fair (-1.6%)
Double chanceDallas or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0442
18952
291052
36741
4342
512

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Dallas at 52%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Queretaro at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market leans toward Dallas. Dallas is priced at 1.74. The draw is priced at 3.78. Queretaro is priced at 4.28.

Dallas have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Queretaro have 2 wins in their last 3 matches. Queretaro are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 59% for both teams to score. The model gives 63% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Dallas or Queretaro?

Our model rates Dallas as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Dallas vs Queretaro?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

North American. Leagues Cup
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Santos Laguna00000:00
2Monterrey00000:00
3Cruz Azul00000:00
4Atlas Guadalajara00000:00
5Atletico San Luis00000:00
6Guadalajara00000:00
7Club Necaxa00000:00
8Pachuca00000:00
9Deportivo Toluca00000:00
10Atlante00000:00
11Club America00000:00
12Puebla00000:00
13Tigres de la UANL00000:00
14Pumas UNAM00000:00
15Queretaro00000:00
16Tijuana00000:00
17Leon00000:00
18Juarez00000:00
Promotion - League Cup (Play-off: Round of 8)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.