Austin vs Tijuana: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Austinvs
TijuanaThe model puts Austin at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Tijuana.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Austin have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tijuana have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Austin is priced at 2.34.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Austin at 39%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Tijuana at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Austin is priced at 2.34. The draw is priced at 3.55. Tijuana is priced at 2.7.
Austin have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Tijuana have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 56% for both teams to score. The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Austin or Tijuana?
Our model rates Austin as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Austin vs Tijuana?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
League table
North American. Leagues Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Atletico San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Club Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Atlante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Tigres de la UANL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pumas UNAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Queretaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Juarez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.