Portland Timbers vs Puebla: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Portland Timbersvs
PueblaThe model puts Portland Timbers at 53%. The model leans toward Portland Timbers. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Portland Timbers.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Portland Timbers have 3 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Puebla have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Portland Timbers is priced at 1.85.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Portland Timbers at 53%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Puebla at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Portland Timbers. Portland Timbers is priced at 1.85. The draw is priced at 3.85. Puebla is priced at 3.655.
Portland Timbers have 3 wins in their last 4 matches. Portland Timbers are on 2 wins in a row. Puebla have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Portland Timbers or Puebla?
Our model rates Portland Timbers as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Portland Timbers vs Puebla?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
North American. Leagues Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Atletico San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Club Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Atlante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Tigres de la UANL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pumas UNAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Queretaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Juarez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.