Rangers vs Hibernian: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rangersvs
HibernianThe model puts Rangers at 60%. The model leans toward Rangers. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Rangers (10-3-2).
- −Recent form favours Rangers.
- −Rangers are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Hibernian are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Rangers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hibernian have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rangers have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Rangers will be without Ashton Scally, Barron C., Cifuentes.
- Hibernian will be without Cadden, McGrath J., Bushiri.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Rangers at 60%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Hibernian at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Rangers. Rangers is priced at 1.54. The draw is priced at 4.3. Hibernian is priced at 5.39.
Rangers have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. Hibernian have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Rangers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Hibernian have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Rangers average 1 goals per game this season. Rangers average 54% possession. Hibernian average 1 goals per game this season. Hibernian average 48% possession.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rangers or Hibernian?
Our model rates Rangers as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rangers vs Hibernian?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 10 Rangers wins, 3 draws, 2 Hibernian wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
Rangers
- 0Pandur
- 0Rommens
- 0Sterling D.
- 0Fernandez
- 0McCrorie Ros.
- 0Raskin
- 0Devlin C.
- 0Yokota
- 0Aasgaard T.
- 0Curtis
- 0Shankland L.
- Ashton Scally (Missing Player)
- Barron C. (Missing Player)
- Cifuentes (Missing Player)
Hibernian
- 0Sallinger
- 0Obita J.
- 0Kerr Ja.
- 0O'Hora
- 0Mayor
- 0Chaiwa
- 0Mulligan
- 0Passlack
- 0Boyle
- 0Lowe
- 0Elding
- Cadden (Missing Player)
- McGrath J. (Missing Player)
- Bushiri (Missing Player)
League table
Scotland. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St. Mirren | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  St. Johnstone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Motherwell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Aberdeen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Celtic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 |  Kilmarnock | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 9 |  Heart of Midlothian | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 |  Dundee | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 12 |  Falkirk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.