Guabira vs Real Tomayapo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Guabiravs
Real TomayapoThe model puts Guabira at 67%. The model leans toward Guabira. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Guabira.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Guabira have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Real Tomayapo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Guabira have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Guabira is priced at 1.37.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Guabira at 67%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Real Tomayapo at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Guabira. Guabira is priced at 1.37. The draw is priced at 4.7. Real Tomayapo is priced at 6.37.
Guabira have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Real Tomayapo have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Guabira have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Real Tomayapo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Guabira or Real Tomayapo?
Our model rates Guabira as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Guabira vs Real Tomayapo?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Guabira wins, 1 draws, 2 Real Tomayapo wins.
League table
Bolivia. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Always Ready | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28:6 | 29 |
| 2 |  The Strongest | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 3 |  Bolivar | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Club Aurora | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 5 |  Club Bamin Real Potosi | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:10 | 17 |
| 6 |  Club Blooming | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 7 |  Oriente Petrolero | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 8 |  ABB | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 24:28 | 16 |
| 9 |  Nacional Potosi | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 10 |  Independiente Petrolero | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 11 | Guabira | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:26 | 15 |
| 12 |  Real Oruro | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23:34 | 14 |
| 13 |  San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:23 | 13 |
| 14 |  Universitario de Vinto | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 17:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Gualberto Villarroel | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9:26 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.