Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Independiente Rivadaviavs
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoThe model puts Independiente Rivadavia at 65%. The model leans toward Independiente Rivadavia. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Independiente Rivadavia.
- +The head-to-head record favours Independiente Rivadavia (2-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Independiente Rivadavia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Independiente Rivadavia have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Independiente Rivadavia is priced at 1.517.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Independiente Rivadavia at 65%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Independiente Rivadavia. Independiente Rivadavia is priced at 1.517. The draw is priced at 3.89. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto is priced at 7.33.
Independiente Rivadavia have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Independiente Rivadavia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Independiente Rivadavia or Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?
Our model rates Independiente Rivadavia as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Independiente Rivadavia wins, 1 draws, 1 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 |  CA Independiente Avellaneda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Newell's Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 6 |  Boca Juniors | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 7 |  Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 |  Talleres de Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Riestra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 10 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Club Atletico Lanus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 12 |  San Lorenzo de Almagro | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 14 |  Union de Santa Fe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 15 |  Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:8 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.