Jablonec vs 1. Slovacko: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Jablonecvs
1. SlovackoThe model puts Jablonec at 61%. The model leans toward Jablonec. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Jablonec.
- +The head-to-head record favours Jablonec (6-7-2).
- +1. Slovacko are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Jablonec have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Slovacko have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jablonec have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Jablonec will be without Milla.
- 1. Slovacko will be without Juroska, Tetour, Vasco F., Ворлицки, Rundic.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Jablonec at 61%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts 1. Slovacko at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Jablonec. Jablonec is priced at 1.62. The draw is priced at 3.9. 1. Slovacko is priced at 5.
Jablonec have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. 1. Slovacko have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 7 of their head-to-head meetings.
Jablonec have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Jablonec are on 4 wins in a row. 1. Slovacko have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Jablonec or 1. Slovacko?
Our model rates Jablonec as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Jablonec vs 1. Slovacko?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Jablonec wins, 7 draws, 2 1. Slovacko wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Jablonec | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Teplice | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Slovan Liberec | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Mlada Boleslav | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 6 |  Zbrojovka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 7 |  Hradec Kralove | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 |  AC Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 9 |  Banik Ostrava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 10 |  Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 11 |  Artis Brno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 12 |  Viktoria Plzen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 13 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 14 | 1. Slovacko | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 15 |  Zlin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Pardubice | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.