Hradec Kralove vs Banik Ostrava: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hradec Kralovevs
Banik OstravaThe model puts Hradec Kralove at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −Hradec Kralove are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Banik Ostrava are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hradec Kralove have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Banik Ostrava have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hradec Kralove have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hradec Kralove will be without Chvatal, Kucera, Vlkanova, Wiesner T., Petrasek.
- Banik Ostrava will be without Boula J., Dyachuk S., Latal, Grygar.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hradec Kralove at 42%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Banik Ostrava at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Hradec Kralove. Hradec Kralove is priced at 2.24. The draw is priced at 3.18. Banik Ostrava is priced at 3.195.
Hradec Kralove have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Banik Ostrava have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hradec Kralove have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Banik Ostrava have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hradec Kralove or Banik Ostrava?
Our model rates Hradec Kralove as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hradec Kralove vs Banik Ostrava?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Hradec Kralove wins, 3 draws, 7 Banik Ostrava wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Prague | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Jablonec | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Teplice | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Slovan Liberec | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Mlada Boleslav | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 6 |  Zbrojovka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 |  AC Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 9 | Banik Ostrava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 10 |  Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 11 |  Artis Brno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 12 |  Viktoria Plzen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 13 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 14 |  1. Slovacko | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 15 |  Zlin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Pardubice | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.