Rosario Central vs CA Aldosivi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rosario Centralvs
CA AldosiviThe model puts Rosario Central at 64%. The model leans toward Rosario Central. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Rosario Central.
- +The head-to-head record favours Rosario Central (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Rosario Central have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CA Aldosivi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rosario Central have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Rosario Central is priced at 1.538.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Rosario Central at 64%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts CA Aldosivi at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Rosario Central. Rosario Central is priced at 1.538. The draw is priced at 3.705. CA Aldosivi is priced at 7.5.
Rosario Central have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. CA Aldosivi have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Rosario Central have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Rosario Central are on 2 wins in a row. CA Aldosivi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rosario Central or CA Aldosivi?
Our model rates Rosario Central as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rosario Central vs CA Aldosivi?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Rosario Central wins, 2 draws, 1 CA Aldosivi wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 |  CA Independiente Avellaneda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Newell's Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 6 |  Boca Juniors | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 7 |  Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 |  Talleres de Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Riestra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 10 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Club Atletico Lanus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 12 |  San Lorenzo de Almagro | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 14 |  Union de Santa Fe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 15 |  Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:8 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.