Kairat vs Jenis: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kairatvs
JenisThe model puts Kairat at 72%. The model leans toward Kairat. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Kairat.
- −The head-to-head record favours Jenis (2-0-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kairat have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jenis have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kairat have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kairat is priced at 1.297.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kairat at 72%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Jenis at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Kairat. Kairat is priced at 1.297. The draw is priced at 5.22. Jenis is priced at 9.85.
Kairat have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Jenis have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Kairat have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Jenis have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kairat or Jenis?
Our model rates Kairat as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kairat vs Jenis?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Kairat wins, 0 draws, 4 Jenis wins.
Odds movement
League table
Kazakhstan. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ordabasy | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 36:15 | 46 |
| 2 | Kairat | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 39:14 | 45 |
| 3 |  Astana | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 31:20 | 35 |
| 4 |  Okzhetpes | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 29:27 | 33 |
| 5 |  Aktobe | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29:24 | 31 |
| 6 |  Elimai | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:23 | 28 |
| 7 |  Ulytau | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 16:20 | 27 |
| 8 | Jenis | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:23 | 23 |
| 9 |  Kyzylzhar | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 23:28 | 22 |
| 10 |  Tobol Kostanay | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 21:28 | 22 |
| 11 |  Caspiy Aktau | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 21:28 | 21 |
| 12 |  Kaysar | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15:22 | 20 |
| 13 |  Atyrau | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14:18 | 19 |
| 14 |  Zhetysu | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 23:30 | 19 |
| 15 |  Irtysh Pavlodar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19:25 | 17 |
| 16 |  Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 16:30 | 16 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.