Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk vs Kyzylzhar: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Altay Ust-Kamenogorskvs
KyzylzharThe model puts Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kyzylzhar have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk is priced at 2.267.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk at 43%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Kyzylzhar at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk is priced at 2.267. The draw is priced at 3.425. Kyzylzhar is priced at 3.02.
Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Kyzylzhar have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Kyzylzhar have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk or Kyzylzhar?
Our model rates Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk vs Kyzylzhar?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk wins, 3 draws, 1 Kyzylzhar wins.
Odds movement
League table
Kazakhstan. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ordabasy | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 36:15 | 46 |
| 2 |  Kairat | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 39:14 | 45 |
| 3 |  Astana | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 31:20 | 35 |
| 4 |  Okzhetpes | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 29:27 | 33 |
| 5 |  Aktobe | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29:24 | 31 |
| 6 |  Elimai | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:23 | 28 |
| 7 |  Ulytau | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 16:20 | 27 |
| 8 |  Jenis | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:23 | 23 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 23:28 | 22 |
| 10 |  Tobol Kostanay | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 21:28 | 22 |
| 11 |  Caspiy Aktau | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 21:28 | 21 |
| 12 |  Kaysar | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15:22 | 20 |
| 13 |  Atyrau | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14:18 | 19 |
| 14 |  Zhetysu | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 23:30 | 19 |
| 15 |  Irtysh Pavlodar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19:25 | 17 |
| 16 | Altay Ust-Kamenogorsk | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 16:30 | 16 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.