Citta di Palermo vs Juve Stabia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Citta di Palermovs
Juve StabiaThe model puts Citta di Palermo at 62%. The model leans toward Citta di Palermo. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Citta di Palermo.
- +The head-to-head record favours Citta di Palermo (7-3-4).
- −Citta di Palermo are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Citta di Palermo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Juve Stabia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Citta di Palermo have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Citta di Palermo will be without Joronen J., Pierozzi, Antonio Palumbo.
- Juve Stabia will be without Federico Artioli.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Citta di Palermo at 62%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Juve Stabia at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Citta di Palermo. Citta di Palermo is priced at 1.56. The draw is priced at 3.84. Juve Stabia is priced at 6.02.
Citta di Palermo have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Juve Stabia have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Citta di Palermo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Juve Stabia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Citta di Palermo or Juve Stabia?
Our model rates Citta di Palermo as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Citta di Palermo vs Juve Stabia?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 7 Citta di Palermo wins, 3 draws, 4 Juve Stabia wins.
Match statistics
Citta di Palermo
- 3Augello
- 8Segre
- 9Vavassori
- 10Ranocchia F.
- 17Johnsen D.
- 20Pohjanpalo
- 23Hernani A.
- 27Pierozzi N.
- 29Peda P.
- 32Ceccaroni
- 66Joronen J.
- Joronen J. (2)
- Pierozzi (2)
- Antonio Palumbo (2)
Juve Stabia
- 2Ricciardi
- 4Бальди
- 6Bellich M.
- 8Buglio
- 10Pierobon
- 11Piscopo K.
- 23Boer P.
- 24Kumi
- 25Douglas
- 27Candellone
- 28Torrasi E.
- Federico Artioli (3)
League table
Italy. Serie B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vicenza Calcio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  A.S.D. Atletico Arezzo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Sudtirol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Cesena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Ascoli Calcio 1898 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Calcio Padova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Sampdoria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Citta di Palermo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Hellas Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Catanzaro 1929 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Avellino 1912 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Carrarese Calcio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Benevento Calcio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 19 |  Virtus Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 20 | Juve Stabia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | -2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.