Lochin vs Yaypan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lochinvs
YaypanThe model puts Lochin at 58%. The model leans toward Lochin. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Lochin.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Lochin have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Yaypan have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Lochin is priced at 1.61.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Lochin at 58%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Yaypan at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Lochin. Lochin is priced at 1.61. The draw is priced at 3.92. Yaypan is priced at 4.465.
Lochin have 2 wins in their last 4 matches. Yaypan have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 45% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lochin or Yaypan?
Our model rates Lochin as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lochin vs Yaypan?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
League table
Uzbekistan. Pro League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aral | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 29:8 | 32 |
| 2 |  Kattakurgan | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 17:7 | 27 |
| 3 |  Shurtan Guzar | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 26 |
| 4 |  Fergana State University | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:21 | 22 |
| 5 |  Metallurg Bekabad | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 6 |  Gazalkent | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Lochin | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 8 |  Olimpik MobiUZ | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:14 | 18 |
| 9 |  Jayxun | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 10 | Yaypan | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 14:23 | 13 |
| 11 |  Respublika FA | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 12 |  Buxdu | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 10:26 | 10 |
| 13 |  Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 13 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 7:31 | 4 |
| 14 |  Terdu | 13 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 9:30 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.