Queanbeyan City vs Tuggeranong United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Queanbeyan Cityvs
Tuggeranong UnitedThe model puts Queanbeyan City at 55%. The model leans toward Queanbeyan City. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Queanbeyan City.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Queanbeyan City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tuggeranong United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Queanbeyan City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Queanbeyan City is priced at 1.7.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Queanbeyan City at 55%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Tuggeranong United at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Queanbeyan City. Queanbeyan City is priced at 1.7. The draw is priced at 3.92. Tuggeranong United is priced at 3.865.
Queanbeyan City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Tuggeranong United have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Queanbeyan City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Tuggeranong United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Queanbeyan City or Tuggeranong United?
Our model rates Queanbeyan City as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Queanbeyan City vs Tuggeranong United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Queanbeyan City wins, 2 draws, 2 Tuggeranong United wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. ACT National Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Canberra Croatia | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 52:18 | 43 |
| 2 |  Monaro Panthers | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 57:23 | 40 |
| 3 |  Tigers Canberra | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 48:21 | 38 |
| 4 | Tuggeranong United | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 39:35 | 36 |
| 5 |  Canberra Juventus | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 34:33 | 30 |
| 6 | Queanbeyan City | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 35:25 | 29 |
| 7 |  Canberra Olympic | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 35:45 | 17 |
| 8 |  O'Connor Knights | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 17:32 | 17 |
| 9 |  Belconnen United | 17 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 24:36 | 9 |
| 10 |  Brindabella Blues | 17 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 10:49 | 9 |
| 11 |  Canberra White Eagles | 17 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 14:48 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.