Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Beijing Institute of Technology: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lanzhou Longyuan Athleticvs
Beijing Institute of TechnologyThe model puts Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic at 59%. The model leans toward Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic (3-1-1).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Beijing Institute of Technology have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic is priced at 1.56.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic at 59%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Beijing Institute of Technology at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic. Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic is priced at 1.56. The draw is priced at 3.4. Beijing Institute of Technology is priced at 6.01.
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Beijing Institute of Technology have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Beijing Institute of Technology have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic or Beijing Institute of Technology?
Our model rates Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Beijing Institute of Technology?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 3 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic wins, 1 draws, 1 Beijing Institute of Technology wins.
League table
China. Second League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shanghai Port II | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 33:14 | 37 |
| 2 |  Shandong Taishan II | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 28:17 | 37 |
| 3 |  Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 26:15 | 33 |
| 4 |  Dalian Kewei | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 18:10 | 33 |
| 5 |  Taian Tiankuang | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23:20 | 29 |
| 6 |  Dalian Yingbo II | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16:18 | 21 |
| 7 |  Haimen Codion | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20:20 | 21 |
| 8 |  Qingdao Red Lions | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20:17 | 21 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9:14 | 18 |
| 10 |  Changchun Xidu | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 10:22 | 16 |
| 11 |  Shanghai Segenda | 19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 19:33 | 14 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute of Technology | 18 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 13:35 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.