Shanghai Port II vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shanghai Port IIvs
Shanxi Chongde RonghaiThe model puts Shanghai Port II at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Shanxi Chongde Ronghai.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Shanghai Port II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shanghai Port II is priced at 2.24.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Shanghai Port II at 40%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Shanxi Chongde Ronghai at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Shanghai Port II is priced at 2.24. The draw is priced at 3.06. Shanxi Chongde Ronghai is priced at 3.045.
Shanghai Port II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Shanxi Chongde Ronghai have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Shanxi Chongde Ronghai are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 57% for both teams to score. The model gives 54% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shanghai Port II or Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?
Our model rates Shanghai Port II as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shanghai Port II vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.