Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Yingbo II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Changchun Xiduvs
Dalian Yingbo IIThe model puts Changchun Xidu at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Changchun Xidu.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Changchun Xidu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dalian Yingbo II have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Changchun Xidu is priced at 2.64.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Changchun Xidu at 37%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Dalian Yingbo II at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Changchun Xidu is priced at 2.64. The draw is priced at 2.76. Dalian Yingbo II is priced at 2.69.
Changchun Xidu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Dalian Yingbo II have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 30% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Changchun Xidu or Dalian Yingbo II?
Our model rates Changchun Xidu as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Yingbo II?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.