Wenzhou vs Guizhou Guiyang Athletic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Wenzhouvs
Guizhou Guiyang AthleticThe model puts Guizhou Guiyang Athletic at 53%. The model leans toward Guizhou Guiyang Athletic. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Guizhou Guiyang Athletic.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Wenzhou have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Guizhou Guiyang Athletic have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Guizhou Guiyang Athletic is priced at 1.77.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Wenzhou at 20%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Guizhou Guiyang Athletic at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Guizhou Guiyang Athletic. Wenzhou is priced at 4.6. The draw is priced at 3.14. Guizhou Guiyang Athletic is priced at 1.77.
Wenzhou have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Guizhou Guiyang Athletic have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Guizhou Guiyang Athletic are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Wenzhou or Guizhou Guiyang Athletic?
Our model rates Guizhou Guiyang Athletic as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Wenzhou vs Guizhou Guiyang Athletic?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.