Granville Rage vs Fraser Park: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Granville Ragevs
Fraser ParkThe model puts Fraser Park at 46%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Fraser Park.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Granville Rage have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fraser Park have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fraser Park is priced at 2.06.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Granville Rage at 32%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Fraser Park at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. Granville Rage is priced at 2.812. The draw is priced at 3.84. Fraser Park is priced at 2.06.
Granville Rage have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Fraser Park have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Fraser Park are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 61% for both teams to score. The model gives 59% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Granville Rage or Fraser Park?
Our model rates Fraser Park as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Granville Rage vs Fraser Park?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.