Salisbury United vs South Adelaide Panthers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Salisbury Unitedvs
South Adelaide PanthersThe model puts Salisbury United at 64%. The model leans toward Salisbury United. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Salisbury United (5-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Salisbury United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- South Adelaide Panthers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Salisbury United have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Salisbury United is priced at 1.45.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Salisbury United at 64%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts South Adelaide Panthers at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Salisbury United. Salisbury United is priced at 1.45. The draw is priced at 4.75. South Adelaide Panthers is priced at 4.96.
Salisbury United have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Salisbury United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. South Adelaide Panthers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Salisbury United or South Adelaide Panthers?
Our model rates Salisbury United as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Salisbury United vs South Adelaide Panthers?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Salisbury United wins, 1 draws, 0 South Adelaide Panthers wins.
League table
Australia. South Australia. State League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Adelaide Raiders | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 51:24 | 41 |
| 2 |  Adelaide Olympic | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 40:24 | 40 |
| 3 |  Modbury Jets | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 41:20 | 38 |
| 4 |  Cumberland United | 20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 36:25 | 34 |
| 5 |  Fulham United | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 39:30 | 33 |
| 6 |  Adelaide Atletico | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 35:29 | 33 |
| 7 |  Adelaide Blue Eagles | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33:28 | 32 |
| 8 |  The Cove | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 9 |  Adelaide Cobras | 20 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 22:39 | 20 |
| 10 |  Eastern United | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 20:40 | 19 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 20 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 24:44 | 14 |
| 12 | South Adelaide Panthers | 20 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 22:57 | 12 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.