Fiorentina vs Deportivo de La Coruna: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fiorentinavs
Deportivo de La CorunaThe model puts Fiorentina at 53%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Fiorentina is priced at 1.813.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Fiorentina at 53%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Deportivo de La Coruna at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Fiorentina. Fiorentina is priced at 1.813. The draw is priced at 3.99. Deportivo de La Coruna is priced at 3.99.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fiorentina or Deportivo de La Coruna?
Our model rates Fiorentina as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fiorentina vs Deportivo de La Coruna?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
League table
Club Friendlies| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leeds United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 2 |  Liverpool | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Wrexham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.