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Mongolia. Qualification

Erchim vs Khoromkhon Klub: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Erchim ErchimvsKhoromkhon Klub Khoromkhon Klub
Our predictionKhoromkhon Klub to win
Model score: Low · 1/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Khoromkhon Klub at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · ErchimDraw2 · Khoromkhon Klub
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Under 2.55.50+44.0%
BTTSNo5.36+37.4%
1X2Erchim2.40+0.6%
1X2Draw4.00-0.2%
1X2Khoromkhon Klub2.30-0.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.17Erchim
xG
1.08Khoromkhon Klub
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score46%

Most likely scorelines

1-113.3%
1-012.4%
0-111.4%
0-010.5%
2-17.8%
2-07.3%
Team strength rating
Erchim
53
Khoromkhon Klub
40

Recent form

Erchim
Khoromkhon KlubLLLLL

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Erchim Khoromkhon Klub

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Khoromkhon Klub win2.30Fair
Double chanceKhoromkhon Klub or drawInfo
Total goalsUnder 2.55.50Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0111162
1121373
27842
3332
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Erchim at 38%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Khoromkhon Klub at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Erchim is priced at 2.4. The draw is priced at 4. Khoromkhon Klub is priced at 2.3.

Khoromkhon Klub have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 39% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Erchim or Khoromkhon Klub?

Our model rates Khoromkhon Klub as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Erchim vs Khoromkhon Klub?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.