Mohammedan Kolkata II vs AS Police Calcutta: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Mohammedan Kolkata IIvs
AS Police CalcuttaThe model puts Mohammedan Kolkata II at 51%. The model leans toward Mohammedan Kolkata II. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Mohammedan Kolkata II.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Mohammedan Kolkata II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AS Police Calcutta have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Mohammedan Kolkata II is priced at 1.87.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Mohammedan Kolkata II at 51%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts AS Police Calcutta at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Mohammedan Kolkata II. Mohammedan Kolkata II is priced at 1.87. The draw is priced at 3.6. AS Police Calcutta is priced at 3.635.
Mohammedan Kolkata II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. AS Police Calcutta have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Mohammedan Kolkata II or AS Police Calcutta?
Our model rates Mohammedan Kolkata II as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Mohammedan Kolkata II vs AS Police Calcutta?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
League table
India. Calcutta Premier Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  East Bengal II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Bhawanipore | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 13 |
| 3 |  Mohun Bagan Super Giant II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kidderpore SC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 5 |  Calcutta Customs | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 6 |  United Kolkata | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 7 |  Patha Chakra | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:17 | 6 |
| 8 |  BSS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 5 |
| 9 |  Railway | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 10 |  George Telegraph | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 11 |  Kalighat Milan Sangha | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 12 |  Bidhannagar MSA | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:11 | 1 |
| 13 |  Sreebhumi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.