Egnatia vs Shamrock Rovers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Egnatiavs
Shamrock RoversThe model puts Egnatia at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Shamrock Rovers.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Egnatia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shamrock Rovers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Egnatia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Egnatia is priced at 2.08.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Egnatia at 44%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Shamrock Rovers at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Egnatia. Egnatia is priced at 2.08. The draw is priced at 3.64. Shamrock Rovers is priced at 3.36.
Egnatia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Egnatia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Shamrock Rovers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Egnatia or Shamrock Rovers?
Our model rates Egnatia as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Egnatia vs Shamrock Rovers?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Egnatia wins, 0 draws, 0 Shamrock Rovers wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.