Iberia 1999 vs Larne: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Iberia 1999vs
LarneThe model puts Iberia 1999 at 55%. The model leans toward Iberia 1999. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Larne.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Iberia 1999 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Larne have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Iberia 1999 is priced at 1.69.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Iberia 1999 at 55%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Larne at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Iberia 1999. Iberia 1999 is priced at 1.69. The draw is priced at 3.78. Larne is priced at 5.05.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Iberia 1999 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Larne have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Iberia 1999 or Larne?
Our model rates Iberia 1999 as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Iberia 1999 vs Larne?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Iberia 1999 wins, 1 draws, 0 Larne wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.