Kolkheti Khobi vs Dinamo Tbilisi II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kolkheti Khobivs
Dinamo Tbilisi IIThe model puts Kolkheti Khobi at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Kolkheti Khobi (5-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kolkheti Khobi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dinamo Tbilisi II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kolkheti Khobi have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kolkheti Khobi is priced at 2.34.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kolkheti Khobi at 41%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Dinamo Tbilisi II at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Kolkheti Khobi is priced at 2.34. The draw is priced at 3.48. Dinamo Tbilisi II is priced at 2.51.
Kolkheti Khobi have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Dinamo Tbilisi II have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Kolkheti Khobi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kolkheti Khobi are on 2 wins in a row. Dinamo Tbilisi II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kolkheti Khobi or Dinamo Tbilisi II?
Our model rates Kolkheti Khobi as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kolkheti Khobi vs Dinamo Tbilisi II?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Kolkheti Khobi wins, 0 draws, 1 Dinamo Tbilisi II wins.
League table
Georgia. League 3| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tbilisi 2025 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 40:8 | 39 |
| 2 |  Guria Lanchkhuti | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 42:10 | 33 |
| 3 |  Iberia 1999 II | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 25:9 | 31 |
| 4 |  Fc Gonio | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 25:11 | 30 |
| 5 |  Orbi | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26:15 | 26 |
| 6 |  Merani Tbilisi | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 25 |
| 7 |  Didube 2014 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 8 |  WIT Georgia Tbilisi | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Kolkheti Khobi | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 20:28 | 17 |
| 11 |  Locomotive Tbilisi | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14:21 | 16 |
| 12 |  Margveti 2006 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 15:30 | 16 |
| 13 |  Gardabani | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 14 |  Iveria Khashuri | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 15 |  Betlemi Keda | 15 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 9:33 | 9 |
| 16 |  Iberia 2010 Tbilisi | 15 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 8:44 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.