Rangers vs St. Mirren: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rangersvs
St. MirrenThe model puts Rangers at 68%. The model leans toward Rangers. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours St. Mirren (2-3-10).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Rangers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- St. Mirren have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rangers have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Rangers is priced at 1.32.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Rangers at 68%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts St. Mirren at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Rangers. Rangers is priced at 1.32. The draw is priced at 5.15. St. Mirren is priced at 8.2.
Rangers have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. St. Mirren have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Rangers have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. St. Mirren have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rangers or St. Mirren?
Our model rates Rangers as the most likely outcome at 68% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rangers vs St. Mirren?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Rangers wins, 3 draws, 10 St. Mirren wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.