Hibernian vs Partick Thistle: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hibernianvs
Partick ThistleThe model puts Hibernian at 64%. The model leans toward Hibernian. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Partick Thistle.
- +The head-to-head record favours Hibernian (6-3-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hibernian have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Partick Thistle have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hibernian have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hibernian is priced at 1.43.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hibernian at 64%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Partick Thistle at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Hibernian. Hibernian is priced at 1.43. The draw is priced at 4.55. Partick Thistle is priced at 6.48.
Hibernian have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Partick Thistle have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hibernian have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Partick Thistle have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Partick Thistle are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hibernian or Partick Thistle?
Our model rates Hibernian as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hibernian vs Partick Thistle?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 11 meetings: 6 Hibernian wins, 3 draws, 2 Partick Thistle wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Hibernian
- 1Sallinger
- 3Mayor
- 5О'хора
- 6Kerr Ja.
- 7Elding
- 8Mulligan
- 9Lowe
- 11Newell Joe
- 15Iredale
- 17McGrath J.
- 27Megwa
Partick Thistle
- 3Reading P.
- 7Drozd
- 8Smith
- 12Макфарлейн
- 14Crawford R.
- 20O'Reilly D.
- 21Fitzpatrick A.
- 22Loughrey
- 24MacPherson
- 32Watt
- 64Letsosa
Match story
How the game unfoldedHibernian make it count (Elding (12')). It's 1–0 at this point.
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (1–0)
Half-time score: Hibernian 1 – 0 Partick Thistle.
No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 1–0.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.