Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Stenhousemuirvs
MotherwellThe model puts Motherwell at 60%. The model leans toward Motherwell. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Stenhousemuir.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Stenhousemuir have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Motherwell have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Motherwell is priced at 1.49.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Stenhousemuir at 19%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Motherwell at 60%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Motherwell. Stenhousemuir is priced at 5.89. The draw is priced at 4.3. Motherwell is priced at 1.49.
Motherwell have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Stenhousemuir have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Motherwell have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Stenhousemuir or Motherwell?
Our model rates Motherwell as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Stenhousemuir wins, 0 draws, 1 Motherwell wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Stenhousemuir
- 1Jamieson D.
- 2Meechan R.
- 5Yang
- 8Robson
- 11O'Donnell
- 14Bilham
- 17Anderson Mi.
- 19Bright
- 21Ходжкисс
- 22Shinnie A.
- 24Grant
Motherwell
- 3Girdwood-Reich
- 4Knight-Lebel
- 18Масванхизе
- 19Said
- 21Matthew Connelly
- 23Wilson
- 24Ross
- 25White
- 27Booth
- 71Hodge J.
- 77Vogt
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
Half-time score: Stenhousemuir 0 – 0 Motherwell.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.