Kairat vs Levski Sofia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kairatvs
Levski SofiaThe model puts Kairat at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Levski Sofia.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kairat have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Levski Sofia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kairat have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kairat is priced at 2.416.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kairat at 38%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Levski Sofia at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Kairat is priced at 2.416. The draw is priced at 3.38. Levski Sofia is priced at 2.9.
Kairat have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Kairat have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Levski Sofia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kairat or Levski Sofia?
Our model rates Kairat as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kairat vs Levski Sofia?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Kairat wins, 0 draws, 0 Levski Sofia wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.