Bodo-Glimt vs Royale Union Saint-Gilloise: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bodo-Glimtvs
Royale Union Saint-GilloiseThe model puts Bodo-Glimt at 55%. The model leans toward Bodo-Glimt. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Royale Union Saint-Gilloise.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bodo-Glimt have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bodo-Glimt is priced at 1.67.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bodo-Glimt at 55%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Royale Union Saint-Gilloise at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Bodo-Glimt. Bodo-Glimt is priced at 1.67. The draw is priced at 4.66. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise is priced at 4.16.
The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Bodo-Glimt have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bodo-Glimt or Royale Union Saint-Gilloise?
Our model rates Bodo-Glimt as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bodo-Glimt vs Royale Union Saint-Gilloise?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Bodo-Glimt wins, 2 draws, 0 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.