Persija Jakarta vs Arema: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Persija Jakartavs
AremaThe model puts Persija Jakarta at 50%. The model leans toward Persija Jakarta. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Persija Jakarta have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Arema have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Persija Jakarta have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Persija Jakarta is priced at 1.8.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Persija Jakarta at 50%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Arema at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Persija Jakarta. Persija Jakarta is priced at 1.8. The draw is priced at 3.48. Arema is priced at 3.875.
Persija Jakarta have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Arema have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Persija Jakarta have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Arema have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Persija Jakarta or Arema?
Our model rates Persija Jakarta as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Persija Jakarta vs Arema?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Persija Jakarta wins, 1 draws, 2 Arema wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.