Columbus Crew vs Pachuca: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Columbus Crewvs
PachucaThe model puts Columbus Crew at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Columbus Crew have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pachuca have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Columbus Crew have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Columbus Crew is priced at 2.3.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Columbus Crew at 41%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Pachuca at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Columbus Crew is priced at 2.3. The draw is priced at 3.44. Pachuca is priced at 2.876.
Columbus Crew have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Columbus Crew have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Pachuca have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Columbus Crew or Pachuca?
Our model rates Columbus Crew as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Columbus Crew vs Pachuca?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Columbus Crew wins, 0 draws, 0 Pachuca wins.
League table
North American. Leagues Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Juarez | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Atlante | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Leon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Tigres de la UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 6 |  Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 |  Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Club Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 15 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 16 | Pachuca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 17 |  Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 |  Pumas UNAM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.