Real Salt Lake vs Atlante: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Real Salt Lakevs
AtlanteThe model puts Real Salt Lake at 53%. The model leans toward Real Salt Lake. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Atlante.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Real Salt Lake have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Atlante have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Real Salt Lake is priced at 1.68.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Real Salt Lake at 53%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Atlante at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Real Salt Lake. Real Salt Lake is priced at 1.68. The draw is priced at 3.98. Atlante is priced at 4.42.
Real Salt Lake have 0 wins in their last 4 matches. Atlante have 2 wins in their last 4 matches. Atlante are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Real Salt Lake or Atlante?
Our model rates Real Salt Lake as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Real Salt Lake vs Atlante?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
League table
North American. Leagues Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Juarez | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Atlante | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Leon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Tigres de la UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 6 |  Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Club Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Monterrey | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 14 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Pachuca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 16 |  Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 |  Pumas UNAM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.