Guadalajara vs Dallas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Guadalajaravs
DallasThe model puts Guadalajara at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Dallas.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Guadalajara have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Dallas have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Guadalajara is priced at 2.19.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Guadalajara at 42%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Dallas at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Guadalajara is priced at 2.19. The draw is priced at 3.68. Dallas is priced at 2.937.
Guadalajara have 1 wins in their last 4 matches. Dallas have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 55% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Guadalajara or Dallas?
Our model rates Guadalajara as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Guadalajara vs Dallas?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
League table
North American. Leagues Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Juarez | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Atlante | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Leon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Tigres de la UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 6 | Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Club Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Monterrey | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 14 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Pachuca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 16 |  Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 |  Pumas UNAM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.