Vicenza Calcio vs Catania: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vicenza Calciovs
CataniaThe model puts Vicenza Calcio at 50%. The model leans toward Vicenza Calcio. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Catania (0-3-3).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Vicenza Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Catania have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vicenza Calcio is priced at 1.88.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Vicenza Calcio at 50%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Catania at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Vicenza Calcio. Vicenza Calcio is priced at 1.88. The draw is priced at 3.54. Catania is priced at 4.2.
Catania have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Vicenza Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Catania have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Vicenza Calcio or Catania?
Our model rates Vicenza Calcio as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Vicenza Calcio vs Catania?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Vicenza Calcio wins, 3 draws, 3 Catania wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.