Seattle Sounders vs Queretaro: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Seattle Soundersvs
QueretaroThe model puts Seattle Sounders at 51%. The model leans toward Seattle Sounders. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Queretaro.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Seattle Sounders have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Queretaro have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Seattle Sounders is priced at 1.78.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Seattle Sounders at 51%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Queretaro at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Seattle Sounders. Seattle Sounders is priced at 1.78. The draw is priced at 3.84. Queretaro is priced at 3.97.
Seattle Sounders have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Queretaro have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 39% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Seattle Sounders or Queretaro?
Our model rates Seattle Sounders as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Seattle Sounders vs Queretaro?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
North American. Leagues Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Club America | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Juarez | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Atlante | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Leon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Tigres de la UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 8 |  Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Monterrey | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 |  Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 11 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 12 |  Pachuca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 13 |  Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Club Necaxa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Tijuana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Puebla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 18 |  Pumas UNAM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.