Ascoli Calcio 1898 vs A.S.D. Potenza: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ascoli Calcio 1898vs
A.S.D. PotenzaThe model puts Ascoli Calcio 1898 at 56%. The model leans toward Ascoli Calcio 1898. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ascoli Calcio 1898 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- A.S.D. Potenza have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ascoli Calcio 1898 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Ascoli Calcio 1898 is priced at 1.66.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ascoli Calcio 1898 at 56%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts A.S.D. Potenza at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Ascoli Calcio 1898. Ascoli Calcio 1898 is priced at 1.66. The draw is priced at 3.6. A.S.D. Potenza is priced at 5.16.
Ascoli Calcio 1898 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ascoli Calcio 1898 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. A.S.D. Potenza have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ascoli Calcio 1898 or A.S.D. Potenza?
Our model rates Ascoli Calcio 1898 as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ascoli Calcio 1898 vs A.S.D. Potenza?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Ascoli Calcio 1898 wins, 1 draws, 0 A.S.D. Potenza wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.