Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt 98: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dynamo Dresdenvs
Darmstadt 98The model puts Dynamo Dresden at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Darmstadt 98.
- −The head-to-head record favours Darmstadt 98 (3-2-8).
- −Dynamo Dresden are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Darmstadt 98 are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dynamo Dresden have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Darmstadt 98 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Dresden have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dynamo Dresden will be without Bunning, Grill L., Raschl, Schmidt.
- Darmstadt 98 will be without Furukawa, Marseiler, Nuernberger, Papela M..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dynamo Dresden at 44%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Darmstadt 98 at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Dynamo Dresden. Dynamo Dresden is priced at 2.04. The draw is priced at 3.75. Darmstadt 98 is priced at 3.22.
Dynamo Dresden have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Darmstadt 98 have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dynamo Dresden have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Darmstadt 98 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dynamo Dresden or Darmstadt 98?
Our model rates Dynamo Dresden as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt 98?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 3 Dynamo Dresden wins, 2 draws, 8 Darmstadt 98 wins.
Odds movement
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Energie Cottbus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  1. Heidenheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 5 |  Karlsruher | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Hertha BSC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Holstein | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Darmstadt 98 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 |  Greuther Furth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  St. Pauli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 |  VfL Osnabruck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 14 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  VfL Bochum | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Hannover 96 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 18 |  1. Magdeburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.