1. Kaiserslautern vs Karlsruher: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
1. Kaiserslauternvs
KarlsruherThe model puts 1. Kaiserslautern at 52%. The model leans toward 1. Kaiserslautern. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours 1. Kaiserslautern (6-6-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- 1. Kaiserslautern have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Karlsruher have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Kaiserslautern have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- 1. Kaiserslautern is priced at 1.87.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts 1. Kaiserslautern at 52%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Karlsruher at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward 1. Kaiserslautern. 1. Kaiserslautern is priced at 1.87. The draw is priced at 3.9. Karlsruher is priced at 3.625.
1. Kaiserslautern have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Karlsruher have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
1. Kaiserslautern have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Karlsruher have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, 1. Kaiserslautern or Karlsruher?
Our model rates 1. Kaiserslautern as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for 1. Kaiserslautern vs Karlsruher?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 1. Kaiserslautern wins, 6 draws, 3 Karlsruher wins.
Odds movement
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Energie Cottbus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  1. Heidenheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 5 | Karlsruher | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Hertha BSC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Holstein | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 |  Darmstadt 98 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 |  Greuther Furth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  St. Pauli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 | 1. Kaiserslautern | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 |  VfL Osnabruck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 14 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  VfL Bochum | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Hannover 96 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 18 |  1. Magdeburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.