CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
CSKA Sofiavs
Maccabi Tel AvivThe model puts CSKA Sofia at 48%. The model leans toward CSKA Sofia. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours CSKA Sofia.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- CSKA Sofia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CSKA Sofia is priced at 2.12.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts CSKA Sofia at 48%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Maccabi Tel Aviv at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward CSKA Sofia. CSKA Sofia is priced at 2.12. The draw is priced at 3.32. Maccabi Tel Aviv is priced at 3.56.
Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
CSKA Sofia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Maccabi Tel Aviv have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, CSKA Sofia or Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Our model rates CSKA Sofia as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 CSKA Sofia wins, 0 draws, 1 Maccabi Tel Aviv wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.