Nashville vs Atletico San Luis: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nashvillevs
Atletico San LuisThe model puts Nashville at 55%. The model leans toward Nashville. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Nashville have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletico San Luis have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Nashville is priced at 1.72.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Nashville at 55%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Atletico San Luis at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Nashville. Nashville is priced at 1.72. The draw is priced at 4.3. Atletico San Luis is priced at 3.88.
Nashville have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Atletico San Luis have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 57% for both teams to score. The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nashville or Atletico San Luis?
Our model rates Nashville as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nashville vs Atletico San Luis?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
North American. Leagues Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Club America | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Juarez | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Atlante | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Leon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Tigres de la UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 8 |  Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Monterrey | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 11 |  Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 12 |  Club Necaxa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 13 |  Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Tijuana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Pachuca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 16 |  Puebla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 17 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 18 |  Pumas UNAM | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.